8. Conclusions
We presented a lightweight measurement technique that lever- ages adaptive filtering over the packet dispersion time. This allows to estimate the per user capacity in mobile cellular networks. Ac- curate estimates can be achieved exploiting as few as 5% of the 794 information obtained from TCP data flows. Given that this solution can support dense throughput sampling, it is ideal for capacity pre- diction and optimized resource allocation. In fact, if the future ca- pacity availability is known, it is possible to predict when it is best to communicate by doing so when it is cheaper (i.e., more capacity available). In addition, our solution is able to estimate the fast ca- pacity variations from a mobile terminal by monitoring the traffic 801 generated under normal daily usage. We validated our technique over a week-long measurement and an extensive simulation campaign. We achieved good estimation 804 accuracy even when using only short lived TCP connections. Since our technique is based on simple post-processing operations on the packet timestamps, it is possible to easily integrate it in back- ground processes or OS routines. We are planning to extend our measurement application with filter based prediction capabilities in order to provide mobile phones with a complete capacity forecasting tool, which, in turn, will allow for advanced resource allocation mechanisms. Fi- nally, we are planning additional measurement campaigns in or- der to further extend these encouraging results on passive and 814 lightweight measurement tools.