5 Conclusion
PSC-86 has the oldest seismic zoning map for Pakistan, and the provisions of this code can be used for calculating seismic design forces of existing engineered structures in building stock with basic seismic design considerations. This design category of RC structures must be considered for vulnerability assessment. In comparison with the latest BCP (2007) seismic zoning map, PSC-86 suggests very low seismic hazard for the study area and the Kashmir earthquake affected areas. The demand comparison shows that the existing building stock of study area is highly vulnerable.
Recent PSHA studies show significant variability in predicted PGA values for 500-year return period. For the study area, PMD-NORSAR [3] predicts the largest PGA value of 0.37 g. Hence, the seismic forces (V/W) according to PMDNORSAR [3] for the ductile and non-ductile four-storey RC structure are found to be significantly higher as compared to the seismic forces evaluated from PSC-86 spectrum. However, BCP [12] hazard value is commonly used these days for the seismic forces calculation of modern RC structures of the study area. Monalisa et al. [10] predicted the least PGA values of 0.15 g for the study area. The variability in probabilistic hazard predictions may be used in propagating the demand uncertainty in vulnerability assessment of building stock of study area.