6. Conclusions
Using a unique dataset of 21 obstetric DRG tariffs in Italy, we test whether the characteristics of the regional governments that are responsible for approving these prices play any role in determining their levels. This research question is relevant because DRGs are fixed prices for health care treatments, and they were conceived to reduce discretion and inefficient expenditure within the health care sector. If DRGs are truly computed on the basis of hospital production function, then changes in the political economy variables should not have a direct effect on their average values. However, our analysis shows that the characteristics of the regional governments affect both average levels and compliance with a budget constraint policy. On average, the proportion of politicians in regional governments who are medical doctors plays an important role, especially for procedures that are more frequent and are less technologically complex. This seems to support the idea that politicians who are medical doctors tend to be more generous regarding the health care sector to increase support from their constituencies. Moreover, regarding the implementation of a budget constraint policy, such as a repayment plan, several of the political economy variables play a crucial role, including the share of medical doctors. The higher the share of medical doctors in the government, the weaker the commitment to undercut prices.
The use of patient discharge data also allows us to approximate the magnitude of the potential waste associated with our results. The analysis of the panel fixed effects model shows that a onestandard-deviation increase in the incidence of physicians on the regional council increases the DRG for vaginal deliveries with complications by 3%, the DRG for vaginal deliveries without complications by 4.7%, and the DRG for normal newborns by 4.9% at the mean of each variable. Although we are aware that these are imperfect proxies, we find no effect on the quality measures. Therefore the above effect seem to be associated with expenditures increases with no welfare gains. Given both the frequency and the average DRG price for these procedures/diagnoses in the period 2000e2013, the estimated increases correspond to additional expenditures of 8,373,429 euros (598,102 annually) for vaginal deliveries with complications, 328,153,980 euros (23,439,570 annually) for vaginal deliveries without complications, and 129,888,950 euros (9,277,782 annually) for normal newborns.