Conclusions
This study aims to determine if ethnic Chinese homebuyers attribute value to lucky and unlucky property addresses in the Auckland housing market. The capitalisation of lucky number “8” and unlucky “4” into house prices due to numeric superstition has been documented in several international markets, including Auckland. Unlike previous studies, the present research uses a novel method to distinguish a particular superstition-prone group, ethnic Chinese, from a pool of homebuyers. By segmenting the sales data between affected and non-affected (control) subpopulations of buyers, a more accurate measure of buyer preferences, such as numeric superstition, is possible.
The findings of this study have uncovered a number of interesting differences between ethnic Chinese and non-Chinese homebuyers, including different affinities for features such as in-ground swimming pools, access to good schools, home vintages and, of course, numeric superstition. Although distinct differences exist between these two groups, the gulf appears to have lessened over time. In particular, ethnic Chinese had in the earlier sales data (2003-2006) placed discounts on older vintage homes, whereas in more recent years (2011- 2015), ethnic Chinese buyers do not assign price premiums to these older homes above the value of an equivalent recently purchased home. The price premiums remain less than their non-Chinese counterparts but provide an indication that these groups’ preferences are becoming more similar over time.