4 Summary & conclusions
Do the stock market and job market measure a CEO’s ability based on the performance of the employing firm? If the answer yes, we would expect the market to react to the CEO’s departure from the old firm and appointment with a new firm in the following manner: a) negative market reactions would be higher when a CEO of higher ability departs than when a CEO of lower ability departs, and b) positive market reaction would be higher when the former is hired than when the latter is hired. If the job market assesses the ability of a CEO the same way as the stock market, we would expect the CEO with higher ability would find the next executive job sooner and command a higher salary than his lower ability counterpart. In this paper, we test these predictions. In addition, we explore if there is any measurable and observable attribute that might contribute to an executive’s level of success.
We select from S&P500 during 2004–2012 the firms that fired their CEOs and the firms that lost their CEOs via resignations. Our sample consists of 48 CEOs who voluntarily resigned to find a new job. We provide evidence to indicate that the stock market relates the performance of the employing firm to the ability of its CEO. The market assigns higher negative abnormal returns to departure of a higher-ability executive than to the departure of a lower-ability CEO. The abnormal returns are significantly higher for the hiring of first group than of the second one. The executives have not disappointed the market: the firms that hired the better-performing group are rewarded with significantly better long-term returns than the firms that hire the goodperforming executives.
Additionally, we find that the job market reactions are consistent with stock market reactions: Tier-1 CEOs find new jobs significantly faster than Tier-2 CEOs. Finally, the level of education is an important factor that separates Tier-1 CEOs from Tier-2 CEOs: the former group is more educated (a Master’s degree or better) than Tier-2 CEOs.