7. Conclusions and Policy Implications
This study attempts to find out if there will be evidence on the “strong” version of Porter Hypothesis in the case of China by examining whether different types of environmental regulations influence environmental TFP growth heterogeneously and if so, whether there exists an optimal level of stringency given a certain type of regulation. Both the aggregate and the province-level results of ETFP growth rates suggest that China has not been on the path towards “green” growth yet and that there exists significant regional differences. We further conduct an empirical analysis by employing a fixed-effect panel threshold model and a panel dataset of China's 30 provinces during the period 2000–2012, and draw interesting and important findings. On the one hand, the threshold regression results of formal regulations support the “strong” version of Porter Hypothesis that formal regulations can be positively related to industrial environmental TFP growth, but with different constrains on command-and-control and marketbased regulation stringency. Specifically, there are two turning points in the non-linear relationship between the command-and-control regulation and ETFP growth and exists a certain range of stringency to induce optimal incentives. However, all 30 provinces in China have been crossed the optimal range, suggesting the stringency of China's current command-and-control regulation being a little bit harsher than the optimal level. While a single threshold has been found with the marketbased regulation and its current stringency is reasonable for most of the provinces. Moreover, based on China's reality, the stimulation on environmental TFP growth driven by market-based regulation is much stronger than that of the command-and-control. On the other hand, informal regulation plays an important and effective role in motivating ETFP growth, but only in terms of education level, not public complaints, implying that education plays an important role in informal regulation's mechanism of action.