6. Conclusions
Focusing on human capital misallocation, this study examines the effect of political promotion incentives on labor investment efficiency at firm level. The empirical results show that the incentive accompanying the political promotion of local politicians significantly decreases the labor investment efficiency of local firms. The observed relationship remains in over-hiring and underhiring firms. We prove that the promotion incentive of local politicians indeed enhances the number of firm employees, especially those with low human capital, which causes the failure of local firms in reaching the optimal allocation of the labor force. Further evidence suggests that the distortion of labor structure conditional on political promotion does not benefit either over-hiring or under-hiring firms in labor investment efficiency. Through instrument variable based on fatal accidents in the coal mine and placebo tests, we document consistent results after identifying the causality and controlling omitted variables. Cross-sectional tests show that the effect of political promotion incentive on labor investment efficiency is more pronounced for stated-owned firms, regular promotions, promotions during the periods of NCCPC, and politicians with high education level. Overall, this study identifies the mechanism behind the change of labor investment efficiency of Chinese firms from a political economy perspective.