5. Conclusion
We do not know what we do not know, but at least imagining what we do not know is a start. If we are to imagine possible futures we need to take stock of what we do know, but then to be careful not to lock ourselves into the present. Scenarios planning offers a structured method for imagining, not predicting, a range of futures that are based on, for example, socially, politically, or environmentally based variables whose direction we cannot predict, but whose direction, if we could imagine, we just might be able to prepare for or even to shape. While not the specific focus of this paper, the type of questioning required for scenario planning also lends itself to design thinking, mentioned earlier, and its process of creative generation of alternative solutions to problems that begins with taking people into account. For this, futures intelligence provides valuable insight.